55 18 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
799 282 Strength Momentum |
938 43.0(52) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/21/15 | Bosque | 0.000 | 1317 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 529 | 6% | |
08/22/15 | Hope Christian | 0.001 | 1009 | L 2- 5 | Expected (-1) | 744 | 26% | |
08/28/15 | at Goddard | 0.006 | 857 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 738 | 39% | |
08/28/15 | at Clovis | 0.002 | 1176 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-3) | 641 | 12% | |
08/29/15 | Santa Fe Prep | 0.002 | 985 | L 1- 8 | Expected (-5) | 526 | 29% | |
09/01/15 | Bloomfield | 0.012 | 647 | W 3- 2 | Expected (-1) | 763 | 72% | |
09/05/15 | at Rehoboth Christian ?? | 0.013 | 694 | L 1- 6 | Worse (-6) | 504 | 61% | |
09/08/15 | at Durango | L 0-10 | --- | --- | --- | |||
09/11/15 | at Valley | 0.012 | 1076 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-5) | 537 | 18% | |
09/12/15 | at Del Norte | 0.052 | 784 | L 1- 4 | Expected (-3) | 651 | 49% | |
09/19/15 | at St. Pius | 0.033 | 1010 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-6) | 504 | 23% | |
09/22/15 | Farmington | 0.174 | 1173 | L 1- 3 | Expected (+2) | 876 | 14% | |
09/29/15 | at Miyamura ! | 0.358 | 708 | W 3- 2 | Expected (0) | 813 | 59% | |
10/01/15 | at Gallup | 0.110 | 570 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1051 | 75% | |
10/08/15 | at Farmington | 0.062 | 1173 | L 0-10 | Expected (-6) | 476 | 12% | |
10/10/15 | Aztec | 0.702 | 938 | L 3- 4 | Expected (0) | 809 | 34% | |
10/15/15 | Miyamura !! | 0.821 | 708 | W 4- 2 | Expected (+1) | 844 | 64% | |
10/17/15 | Los Alamos | 0.332 | 1257 | L 1- 7 | Expected (-2) | 715 | 9% | |
10/20/15 | at Gallup | 0.848 | 570 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 795 | 75% | |
10/22/15 | at Aztec ? | 0.320 | 938 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-5) | 522 | 30% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Piedra Vista actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 938, while
Piedra Vista's "weighted playing strength" is 779
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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